Friday, May 2, 2014

New Kentucky Derby Odds

With Hoppertunity scratched from the Kentucky Derby with a sore foot, and since Pablo Del Monte's folks decided to not run him on Saturday, the Derby field is now at 19  And since Hoppertunity was the second betting choice in the morning line, Mike Battaglia changed the odds on 7 colts.  Here they are, in order, with their Position and new odds:
 1.    Vicar's In Trouble    changed to   20 to 1
 2.    Harry's Holiday     stayed at   50 to 1
 3.    Uncle Sigh    stayed at   30 to 1
 4.    Danza   changed to   8 to 1
 5.    California Chrome  stayed at  5 to 2 - the betting favorite, unbeaten in 3 races
 6.    Samraat   changed to  15 to 1
 7.    We Miss Artie   stayed at  50 to 1
 8.    General a Rod   stayed at  15 to 1
 9.    Vinceremos    stayed at   30 to 1
10.   Wildcat Red   stayed at   15 to 1
12.   Dance With Fate   stayed at   20 to 1
13.   Chitu    stayed at  20 to 1
14.   Medal Count   stayed at   20 to 1
15.   Tapiture    changed to   12 to 1
16.   Intense Holiday   changed to   8 to 1
17.   Commanding Curve    stayed at   50 to 1
18.   Candy Boy    changed to   15 to 1
19.   Ride On Curlin    stayed at   15 to 1
20.   Wicked Strong    changed to   6 to 1

  So, who do I like? With his looks, breeding, and winning ways, I like California Chrome.  But.  He is the betting favorite, so I will not bet on him to win, though I might use him in an exacta or trifecta bet.
   I really like Vicar's In Trouble, ridden by Rosie Napravnik, who won the Oaks today.  But they're breaking from the one spot in a 19 horse field - they will have to be very lucky to win.
   I like the breeding of Wicked Strong, Intense Holiday, Medal Count, Vinceremos, and Harry's Holiday (but HH is stuck down in the second gate post).
   I love the looks of California Chrome, Uncle Sigh, Samraat, Wildcat Red, Chitu, and Intense Holiday.
  Unless one of them is scratched, I'll put my money on:  Vicar's In Trouble, Wildcat Red, Medal Count, Intense Holiday,Wicked Strong and Commanding Curve....
  I'll probably lose everything...  But that's the fun and thrill of the Sport of Kings!

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