Saturday, June 6, 2015

Will American Pharoah Win the Belmont Stakes?

Personally, I hope that American Pharoah will prevail over the seven other contestants.  Why?  Because American thoroughbred racing needs a boost, which it would get, if American Pharoah can win the Triple Crown Championship.  Plus, I really like this colt's breeding. and I like his connections - his owners, trainer, and jockey.  He is also a very good-looking colt - nice, calm eye, good head, great confirmation - and, apparently, he loves to run and win.  I try not to like the betting favorite in any of the Triple Crown races - the last horse I was completely crazy over was Sunday Silence in 1989 - he won the Derby and the Preakness, battling Easy Goer, but Easy Goer won the Belmont.  (Then, again, I was present when Sunday Silence defeated Easy Goer in the Breeders Cup Classic that same year....  Talk about a thrill!)
   Some horses have certain affinities to certain tracks and certain states - Easy Goer never won a race outside of New York state.  American Pharoah has won on tracks in California, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Maryland.  But the Belmont track is huge.  One circuit covers the mile and a half length of the Belmont Stakes race.  Will American Pharoah like the footing?  Will the air and humidity affect him?  His buddy, Smokey (the AQHA registered This Whiz Shines, a horse bred for reining), travels with him, and NBC commentator Donna Brothers usually rides Smokey in her interviews with jockeys after the Triple Crown races.
   The length of the race is the biggest test, as well as staying out of racing trouble.  I want American Pharoah to win.  But none of these colts has raced further than 1.25 miles - that extra quarter mile will be the telling factor.  American Pharoah's pedigree says he should be able to run that distance; so does Frammento's and Frosted's pedigrees.  And Frammento and Frosted like to run at Belmont Park.
We'll just have to wait and see what happens - and, as always, I'll pray that there are no injuries to horses or riders.
    The Epsom Derby is also being run today, across the pond.  Their post time is 4:30 GMT today, which means 10:30 MDT.  I'll be eagerly awaiting the results from Epsom Downs - will Golden Horn remain undefeated?  That would mean Frankie Dettori will win another Derby.   There are twelve horses running in today's Derby....  Again, it's up to racing luck.

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